Inflation has been rising for months
Inflation has been rising for months

Inflation has been rising for months

Phillepus Uusiku
ALI BEKHTAOUI

Whether it is the heating bill, pump prices or making the weekly run to the supermarket, consumers are having to dig deeper and deeper into family budgets. Inflation is complicating the recovery of individual consumers from the pandemic and putting the recovery of the global economy at risk.

Inflation figures have been rising for months. In the United States, government data released this week showed consumer prices rose by five percent on an annual basis in October, the highest since 1990.

In the eurozone, consumer prices were up 4.1%, the highest in 13 years. In Britain, the increase was 4.2 percent. In all three, inflation is running at more than double the targets set by their central banks.

Elsewhere, inflation is also running hot. In Russia it is 8.1%, in Brazil it has hit almost 11 percent, and in Turkey it is nearly 20 percent. Behind these abstract numbers is the concrete reality of the skyrocketing cost of filling up the gas tank, higher prices for meat and other basic foodstuffs.

In the United States, many food companies are cutting the size of packages to avoid raising prices, a practice called shrinkflation. Restaurant owners have told AFP they have begun to remove products which have become too expensive from their menus, such as bottled water or crab cakes.

After stalling in 2020, the motor of the global economy is spluttering back to life this year. This rebound, plus shifts in consumption away from services to goods by households, means a boom in demand that has outstripped supply, which in some cases is still being hobbled by the pandemic. This has pushed up prices of many raw materials, first and foremost crude oil, but copper and wood as well.

Manufacturing

Certain manufacturing sectors have been hit by a lack of semiconductors or computer chips, in particular the auto and mobile phone industries.

Global transport networks have also snarled up. Some ports have become clogged because of a lack of workers to offload cargo while in Britain there is an acute lack of truck drivers. Freight prices have skyrocketed.

The refrain from central bankers about inflation has been unchanging: it is transitory as it is the result of the low point of comparison from last year and is being caused short-term supply problems that will resolve themselves.

The argument has begun to wear thin as the months have passed. "It is now clear that this process will take longer than initially expected, and the inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better," said analysts at investment bank Goldman Sachs in a note to clients. They believe inflation will begin to wind down only in the middle of next year.

A sign of the growing concern is that Google searches for the word "inflation" have hit their highest levels in the United States and Europe since tracking began in 2004.-Nampa/AFP

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Premier League: Chelsea 6 vs 0 Everton LaLiga: Osasuna 0 vs 1 Valencia SerieA: Atalanta 2 vs 2 Hellas Verona | Fiorentina 1 vs 1 Genoa European Championships Qualifying: Southampton 3 vs 0 Preston North End English Championship: Southampton 3 vs 0 Preston North End Katima Mulilo: 18° | 34° Rundu: 18° | 33° Eenhana: 20° | 36° Oshakati: 22° | 35° Ruacana: 21° | 35° Tsumeb: 20° | 33° Otjiwarongo: 18° | 32° Omaruru: 20° | 34° Windhoek: 17° | 31° Gobabis: 18° | 31° Henties Bay: 16° | 24° Wind speed: 22km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 06:51, High tide: 13:03, Low Tide: 18:49, High tide: 01:16 Swakopmund: 16° | 19° Wind speed: 23km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 06:49, High tide: 13:01, Low Tide: 18:47, High tide: 01:14 Walvis Bay: 17° | 26° Wind speed: 28km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 06:49, High tide: 13:00, Low Tide: 18:47, High tide: 01:13 Rehoboth: 18° | 32° Mariental: 21° | 34° Keetmanshoop: 21° | 35° Aranos: 20° | 33° Lüderitz: 15° | 28° Ariamsvlei: 21° | 35° Oranjemund: 15° | 24° Luanda: 26° | 29° Gaborone: 18° | 30° Lubumbashi: 16° | 25° Mbabane: 15° | 26° Maseru: 11° | 24° Antananarivo: 10° | 24° Lilongwe: 17° | 24° Maputo: 19° | 30° Windhoek: 17° | 31° Cape Town: 16° | 24° Durban: 19° | 26° Johannesburg: 15° | 26° Dar es Salaam: 23° | 29° Lusaka: 18° | 28° Harare: 15° | 28° Currency: GBP to NAD 23.76 | EUR to NAD 20.36 | CNY to NAD 2.64 | USD to NAD 19.11 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.38 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.02 | ZMW to NAD 0.74 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.62 | RUB to NAD 0.2 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.1 | USD to AOA 832.83 | USD to BWP 13.77 | USD to EGP 48.36 | USD to KES 132.73 | USD to NGN 1147.53 | USD to ZAR 19.13 | USD to ZMW 25.5 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 72995.19 Down -0.01% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1521.3 Up +0.05% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 13384.83 Up +0.17% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 29667.71 Up +0.91% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 378.76/OZ UP +0.46% | Copper US$ 4.39/lb UP +1.60% | Zinc US$ 2 804.10/T DOWN -0.6% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 87.32/BBP DOWN -0.0044 | Platinum US$ 939.97/OZ DOWN 0 Sport results: Premier League: Chelsea 6 vs 0 Everton LaLiga: Osasuna 0 vs 1 Valencia SerieA: Atalanta 2 vs 2 Hellas Verona | Fiorentina 1 vs 1 Genoa European Championships Qualifying: Southampton 3 vs 0 Preston North End English Championship: Southampton 3 vs 0 Preston North End Weather: Katima Mulilo: 18° | 34° Rundu: 18° | 33° Eenhana: 20° | 36° Oshakati: 22° | 35° Ruacana: 21° | 35° Tsumeb: 20° | 33° Otjiwarongo: 18° | 32° Omaruru: 20° | 34° Windhoek: 17° | 31° Gobabis: 18° | 31° Henties Bay: 16° | 24° Wind speed: 22km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 06:51, High tide: 13:03, Low Tide: 18:49, High tide: 01:16 Swakopmund: 16° | 19° Wind speed: 23km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 06:49, High tide: 13:01, Low Tide: 18:47, High tide: 01:14 Walvis Bay: 17° | 26° Wind speed: 28km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 06:49, High tide: 13:00, Low Tide: 18:47, High tide: 01:13 Rehoboth: 18° | 32° Mariental: 21° | 34° Keetmanshoop: 21° | 35° Aranos: 20° | 33° Lüderitz: 15° | 28° Ariamsvlei: 21° | 35° Oranjemund: 15° | 24° Luanda: 26° | 29° Gaborone: 18° | 30° Lubumbashi: 16° | 25° Mbabane: 15° | 26° Maseru: 11° | 24° Antananarivo: 10° | 24° Lilongwe: 17° | 24° Maputo: 19° | 30° Windhoek: 17° | 31° Cape Town: 16° | 24° Durban: 19° | 26° Johannesburg: 15° | 26° Dar es Salaam: 23° | 29° Lusaka: 18° | 28° Harare: 15° | 28° Economic Indicators: Currency: GBP to NAD 23.76 | EUR to NAD 20.36 | CNY to NAD 2.64 | USD to NAD 19.11 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.38 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.02 | ZMW to NAD 0.74 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.62 | RUB to NAD 0.2 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.1 | USD to AOA 832.83 | USD to BWP 13.77 | USD to EGP 48.36 | USD to KES 132.73 | USD to NGN 1147.53 | USD to ZAR 19.13 | USD to ZMW 25.5 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 72995.19 Down -0.01% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1521.3 Up +0.05% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 13384.83 Up +0.17% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 29667.71 Up +0.91% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 378.76/OZ UP +0.46% | Copper US$ 4.39/lb UP +1.60% | Zinc US$ 2 804.10/T DOWN -0.6% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 87.32/BBP DOWN -0.0044 | Platinum US$ 939.97/OZ DOWN 0