Ontluikende markte kry slae oor risiko
Ontluikende markte kry slae oor risiko

Ontluikende markte kry slae oor risiko

Jo-Mare Duddy Booysen
Huishoudelike risiko’s gee die markte in verskeie ontluikende markte ’n pak slae.

Van Thailand tot Suid-Afrika het die markte en geldeenhede tot hul laagste vlak in drie weke teruggesak.

Die negatiewe sentiment jeens ontluikende markte is vererger deur die aanloop tot die Amerikaanse presidentsverkiesing en beleggers wat verwag dat die Federale Reserweraad (Fed) in Desember rentekoerse sal verhoog.

In Thailand het aandele en die baht taamlik waarde verloor weens kommer oor die gesondheid van koning Bhumibol Adulyadej.

In Suid-Afrika is die rand op pad na sy laagste vlak in ’n maand en die land se kredietrisiko styg tot ’n driemaandehoogte­punt omdat beleggers vrees dat Pravin Gordhan, minister van finansies, uit sy amp verwyder kan word.

Chinese aandele wat in Hongkong verhandel word, het ook hul grootste daling in vier weke aangeteken te midde van bespiegeling dat geldinvloei van die Chinese vaste­land af sal verminder en die yuan sal verswak.

Russiese staatseffekte het ook vir die sewende agtereenvolgende dag agter­uit geboer.

Aandele in ontwikkelende lande het met 2,5% geval en geldeenhede het 1,4% van hul waarde verloor nadat die hoogste vlakke in 13 maande in die afgelope twee maande bereik is. Dit is aangevuur deur beleggers wat na hoër opbrengs soek, maar dié lopie het momentum verloor omdat markte nou die groter waarskynlikheid van ’n rentekoersverhoging deur die Fed later vanjaar verreken.

Daar heers ook kommer dat ’n oorwinning vir Donald Trump in die Amerikaanse presidentsverkiesing handelsooreenkomste kan benadeel.

“Daar is spesifieke­ stories wat verliese in individuele markte soos Thailand aan die gang gesit het en die ­Amerikaanse verkiesing­stryd bied ook heelwat rede tot kommer vir beleggers,” sê William Jackson, ’n ekonoom vir ontluikende markte van Capital Economics in Londen.

“Maar daar is ook tekens dat ontluikende markte se onderliggende sterkte begin verbeter en die aandelepryse behoort te herstel as die eksterne omgewing gunstiger raak.”

Beleggers reken tans die kans op ’n koersverhoging van die Fed in Desember is 66%, maar hulle ken net 20% toe aan die kans op ’n verhoging volgende maand.

Dié persentasie is gegrond op die prys van federale fondse se termynkontrakte.

- Netwerk24/Bloomberg

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Republikein 2024-03-28

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Katima Mulilo: 19° | 37° Rundu: 17° | 33° Eenhana: 18° | 33° Oshakati: 20° | 31° Ruacana: 19° | 33° Tsumeb: 17° | 29° Otjiwarongo: 16° | 28° Omaruru: 18° | 31° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Gobabis: 17° | 28° Henties Bay: 16° | 19° Wind speed: 24km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 10:54, High tide: 04:57, Low Tide: 22:58, High tide: 17:16 Swakopmund: 15° | 17° Wind speed: 29km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:55, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:14 Walvis Bay: 16° | 22° Wind speed: 33km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:54, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:13 Rehoboth: 18° | 29° Mariental: 22° | 32° Keetmanshoop: 21° | 34° Aranos: 21° | 31° Lüderitz: 15° | 29° Ariamsvlei: 23° | 34° Oranjemund: 15° | 21° Luanda: 27° | 30° Gaborone: 20° | 32° Lubumbashi: 17° | 24° Mbabane: 15° | 23° Maseru: 12° | 28° Antananarivo: 16° | 27° Lilongwe: 17° | 29° Maputo: 20° | 28° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Cape Town: 17° | 23° Durban: 21° | 25° Johannesburg: 18° | 28° Dar es Salaam: 26° | 32° Lusaka: 18° | 30° Harare: 15° | 31° Currency: GBP to NAD 23.99 | EUR to NAD 20.54 | CNY to NAD 2.63 | USD to NAD 19.05 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.39 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.74 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.8 | RUB to NAD 0.2 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.13 | USD to AOA 832.63 | USD to BWP 13.71 | USD to EGP 47.35 | USD to KES 130.98 | USD to NGN 1415.13 | USD to ZAR 19.05 | USD to ZMW 24.97 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 73909.5 Up +0.41% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1516.02 Down -0.13% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 12981.98 Up +0.34% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 28224.37 Down -2.87% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 208.86/OZ UP +0.83% | Copper US$ 3.97/lb DOWN -0.0028 | Zinc US$ 2 445.40/T DOWN -0.45% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 87.07/BBP UP +0.79% | Platinum US$ 896.85/OZ UP +0.22% Sport results: Weather: Katima Mulilo: 19° | 37° Rundu: 17° | 33° Eenhana: 18° | 33° Oshakati: 20° | 31° Ruacana: 19° | 33° Tsumeb: 17° | 29° Otjiwarongo: 16° | 28° Omaruru: 18° | 31° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Gobabis: 17° | 28° Henties Bay: 16° | 19° Wind speed: 24km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 10:54, High tide: 04:57, Low Tide: 22:58, High tide: 17:16 Swakopmund: 15° | 17° Wind speed: 29km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:55, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:14 Walvis Bay: 16° | 22° Wind speed: 33km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:54, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:13 Rehoboth: 18° | 29° Mariental: 22° | 32° Keetmanshoop: 21° | 34° Aranos: 21° | 31° Lüderitz: 15° | 29° Ariamsvlei: 23° | 34° Oranjemund: 15° | 21° Luanda: 27° | 30° Gaborone: 20° | 32° Lubumbashi: 17° | 24° Mbabane: 15° | 23° Maseru: 12° | 28° Antananarivo: 16° | 27° Lilongwe: 17° | 29° Maputo: 20° | 28° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Cape Town: 17° | 23° Durban: 21° | 25° Johannesburg: 18° | 28° Dar es Salaam: 26° | 32° Lusaka: 18° | 30° Harare: 15° | 31° Economic Indicators: Currency: GBP to NAD 23.99 | EUR to NAD 20.54 | CNY to NAD 2.63 | USD to NAD 19.05 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.39 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.74 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.8 | RUB to NAD 0.2 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.13 | USD to AOA 832.63 | USD to BWP 13.71 | USD to EGP 47.35 | USD to KES 130.98 | USD to NGN 1415.13 | USD to ZAR 19.05 | USD to ZMW 24.97 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 73909.5 Up +0.41% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1516.02 Down -0.13% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 12981.98 Up +0.34% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 28224.37 Down -2.87% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 208.86/OZ UP +0.83% | Copper US$ 3.97/lb DOWN -0.0028 | Zinc US$ 2 445.40/T DOWN -0.45% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 87.07/BBP UP +0.79% | Platinum US$ 896.85/OZ UP +0.22%